logo
亚特兰大 icon
icon 亚特兰大 icon
新闻与资讯
Is the housing market about to hit rock bottom?
Is the housing market about to hit rock bottom? 亚特兰大
By   Internet
  • 都市报
  • Housing Market Status
  • Housing Market Trends
  • US Housing Market
Abstract: By many standards, today's housing market has been in a deep slump, but the latest real estate statistics suggest that something more serious may be happening - the market may be hurtling towards some sort of rock bottom.

"Taken as a whole, this week's data is consistent with other indicators that suggest housing market activity may be bottoming out at a fairly low level," noted Danielle Hale, Chief Economist at Realtor.com®, in her recent analysis.

 

So, does this mean that the worst days for housing will soon be over?

 

Not quite, as the four harbingers of housing - house prices, inventory, days on market and mortgage rates - show little sign of rebounding yet.

 

They are not yet strong indicators of how long the market will bounce along the bottom", Hale explains.

 

In other words, we could be struggling in this strange new netherworld for a while.

 

However, that doesn't mean it's all hopelessness and despair down here.

 

The depths of winter are actually seeing some signs that homebuyers are feeling optimistic. The National Association of Home Builders recently reported that more people were out visiting new construction with the intention of buying - for the second month in a row.

 

In addition, there was a jump in pending home contracts in January. This suggests higher sales volumes in the coming months as buyers and sellers sign contracts and then close the deal a few weeks later.

 

But with mortgage rates soaring, this burst of enthusiasm may be short-lived.

 

According to Freddie Mac, the average rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage was 6.65 per cent in the week ending March 2, the fourth consecutive week of an upward trend. This has severely impacted homebuyers who are desperately struggling to keep their finances in order.

 

House prices are not exactly cooperating either. The annual increases are moderating, which is the economists' way of saying that they are not rising as fast as they did last autumn. But they were still rising in the week ending February 25, up 7.2 per cent compared to the same week a year ago.

 

In February, the median price of a home for sale was $415,000. Paying $630 more per month for a typical home compared to February 2022 may simply be too much for some buyers to handle.

 

Each week for the past nine months, fewer homeowners have listed their homes for sale than this time last year, and the last week of February was no exception.

 

In the week ending February 25, there were 16 per cent fewer new listings than in 2022, meaning, in Hale's words, less "fresh potential" for buyers.

 

"Fresh" is probably the key word here. If you look at all the listings, not just the newbies entering the market, there are actually more homes for sale on the market now than there were a year ago - 67 per cent more, to be exact. But many of these properties are staying on the market for longer, averaging 19 days in the most recent weekly statistics.

 

In fact, the pace of sales has slowed for 30 consecutive weeks. This means that buyers have seen most of these listings and decided to give up.

 

However, although there seems to be a glut of these stale listings, it must also be remembered that overall there are still only half as many homes for sale as there were before the COVID-19 pandemic.

 

The housing market may be slowing down, but it is still faster than it was before the pandemic.

 

Using time on the market as a guide, the housing market today is halfway between the most frenetic period a year ago and the typical period before the frenzy of the pandemic era," Hale explains.

 

In other words, our entire frame of reference for what constitutes a fast, slow, surplus or shortage of housing has changed.

 

This shift in perspective may help "explain why both buyers and sellers are chilly about this spring home-buying and selling season," Hale said.

 

"Mortgage rates will likely play a strong role in determining whether the market slows or accelerates further," Hale predicted.

留言
icon
请输入您的国籍
+87
不能为空
电子邮件地址无效 电子邮件地址未验证!
icon
欢迎访问 House.com
登录或注册以充分利用您的体验。这也将增加您与经纪人交流的机会。
请输入有效的电子邮件地址。
继续使用 Google
提交即表示我接受House.com的   使用条款
icon icon
验证您的电子邮件
你好 我们刚刚将验证码发送到您的电子邮件中。请检查并在此处输入验证码以继续登录。
验证码错误
没有收到电子邮件?请检查您的垃圾邮件文件夹
icon
banner
Is the housing market about to hit rock bottom?
icon 复制链接
icon WhatsApp
icon Facebook
icon Twitter